Props board
Projection vs line, probability vs price. Pass is a legitimate answer.
17 props · 13 actionable · edge is model probability minus implied probability
Week 3 props
Projection, distribution and market comparison. Click a player for their profile.
| Game | Diff | Implied % | EV / 1u | Quality | Decision | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB · JAX | NE @ JAX | Rushing Yards | 20.5 | 30.2 | +9.7 | 74% | 49% | +25.4 pp | +0.523u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Bhayshul Tuten RB · JAX | NE @ JAX | Rush Attempts | 13.5 | 10.9 | -2.6 | 71% | 54% | +16.9 pp | +0.313u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Jakobi Meyers WR · JAX | NE @ JAX | Receiving Yards | 34.5 | 43.9 | +9.4 | 65% | 50% | +14.8 pp | +0.297u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Bhayshul Tuten RB · JAX | NE @ JAX | Rushing Yards | 51.5 | 43.8 | -7.7 | 64% | 50% | +13.4 pp | +0.267u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Drake Maye QB · NE | NE @ JAX | Rushing Yards | 25.5 | 31.0 | +5.5 | 64% | 51% | +12.9 pp | +0.254u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Hunter Henry TE · NE | NE @ JAX | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.3 | -0.2 | 55% | 44% | +10.4 pp | +0.235u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Brenton Strange TE · JAX | NE @ JAX | Receiving Yards | 29.5 | 34.6 | +5.1 | 60% | 50% | +10.2 pp | +0.202u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Drake Maye QB · NE | NE @ JAX | Passing TDs | 1.5 | 1.5 | -0.0 | 49% | 40% | +8.9 pp | +0.225u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| DeMario Douglas WR · NE | NE @ JAX | Receiving Yards | 28.5 | 25.5 | -3.0 | 58% | 50% | +8.6 pp | +0.172u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Jakobi Meyers WR · JAX | NE @ JAX | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.6 | +0.1 | 53% | 47% | +6.4 pp | +0.135u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Hunter Henry TE · NE | NE @ JAX | Receiving Yards | 41.5 | 38.1 | -3.4 | 56% | 50% | +6.1 pp | +0.122u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Drake Maye QB · NE | NE @ JAX | Rush Attempts | 5.5 | 6.0 | +0.5 | 58% | 53% | +4.5 pp | +0.084u | complete datamedium conf | Lean Over |
| Brenton Strange TE · JAX | NE @ JAX | Receptions | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | 63% | 59% | +3.1 pp | +0.053u | complete datamedium conf | Lean Over |
| Drake Maye QB · NE | NE @ JAX | Pass Attempts | 30.5 | 29.9 | -0.6 | 52% | 49% | +2.8 pp | +0.058u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Drake Maye QB · NE | NE @ JAX | Completions | 19.5 | 20.5 | +1.0 | 55% | 52% | +2.8 pp | +0.053u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| DeMario Douglas WR · NE | NE @ JAX | Receptions | 2.5 | 2.9 | +0.4 | 61% | 58% | +2.7 pp | +0.046u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Drake Maye QB · NE | NE @ JAX | Passing Yards | 221.5 | 220.2 | -1.3 | 51% | 49% | +1.2 pp | +0.024u | complete datalow conf | Pass |