Props board
Projection vs line, probability vs price. Pass is a legitimate answer.
11 props · 5 actionable · edge is model probability minus implied probability
Week 3 props
Projection, distribution and market comparison. Click a player for their profile.
| Game | Diff | Implied % | EV / 1u | Quality | Decision | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers QB · PIT | CIN @ PIT | Passing Yards | 169.5 | 203.1 | +33.6 | 66% | 50% | +15.8 pp | +0.316u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Ja'Marr Chase WR · CIN | CIN @ PIT | Receiving Yards | 74.5 | 62.3 | -12.2 | 64% | 50% | +14.1 pp | +0.283u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Aaron Rodgers QB · PIT | CIN @ PIT | Pass Attempts | 29.5 | 33.7 | +4.2 | 63% | 50% | +12.7 pp | +0.255u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Aaron Rodgers QB · PIT | CIN @ PIT | Completions | 19.5 | 21.6 | +2.1 | 60% | 50% | +9.7 pp | +0.193u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Joe Burrow QB · CIN | CIN @ PIT | Passing TDs | 1.5 | 1.6 | +0.1 | 53% | 48% | +5.0 pp | +0.105u | partial datamedium conf | Pass |
| Chase Brown HB · CIN | CIN @ PIT | Rushing Yards | 62.5 | 58.8 | -3.8 | 55% | 50% | +5.0 pp | +0.099u | complete datamedium conf | Lean Under |
| Joe Burrow QB · CIN | CIN @ PIT | Passing Yards | 247.5 | 236.7 | -10.8 | 54% | 50% | +4.2 pp | +0.083u | partial datamedium conf | Pass |
| Chase Brown HB · CIN | CIN @ PIT | Receiving Yards | 22.5 | 23.3 | +0.8 | 52% | 50% | +2.8 pp | +0.057u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Jaylen Warren RB · PIT | CIN @ PIT | Receiving Yards | 23.5 | 23.9 | +0.4 | 51% | 49% | +1.8 pp | +0.037u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| DK Metcalf WR · PIT | CIN @ PIT | Receiving Yards | 51.5 | 52.8 | +1.3 | 52% | 50% | +1.8 pp | +0.036u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Jaylen Warren RB · PIT | CIN @ PIT | Rushing Yards | 57.5 | 56.7 | -0.8 | 51% | 50% | +1.2 pp | +0.023u | complete datalow conf | Pass |