Props board
Projection vs line, probability vs price. Pass is a legitimate answer.
10 props · 2 actionable · edge is model probability minus implied probability
Week 3 props
Projection, distribution and market comparison. Click a player for their profile.
| Game | Diff | Implied % | EV / 1u | Quality | Decision | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Likely TE · NYG | TEN @ NYG | Receiving Yards | 39.5 | 45.7 | +6.2 | 60% | 50% | +9.9 pp | +0.200u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Cam Ward QB · TEN | TEN @ NYG | Passing Yards | 181.5 | 167.6 | -13.9 | 58% | 50% | +8.1 pp | +0.163u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Carnell Tate WR · TEN | TEN @ NYG | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.6 | +0.1 | 53% | 45% | +7.3 pp | +0.162u | sparse datalow conf | Pass |
| Cam Skattebo RB · NYG | TEN @ NYG | Rushing Yards | 56.5 | 61.7 | +5.2 | 57% | 50% | +6.3 pp | +0.124u | partial datamedium conf | Pass |
| Cam Skattebo RB · NYG | TEN @ NYG | Receptions | 2.5 | 2.1 | -0.4 | 67% | 61% | +6.1 pp | +0.100u | partial datamedium conf | Pass |
| Jameis Winston QB · NYG | TEN @ NYG | Passing Yards | 196.5 | 194.8 | -1.7 | 49% | 47% | +2.4 pp | +0.052u | sparse datalow conf | Pass |
| Gunnar Helm TE · TEN | TEN @ NYG | Receiving Yards | 22.5 | 23.2 | +0.7 | 52% | 50% | +2.2 pp | +0.045u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Cam Skattebo RB · NYG | TEN @ NYG | Rush Attempts | 15.5 | 15.2 | -0.3 | 48% | 47% | +1.6 pp | +0.035u | partial datalow conf | Pass |
| Carnell Tate WR · TEN | TEN @ NYG | Receiving Yards | 37.5 | 36.7 | -0.8 | 52% | 50% | +1.6 pp | +0.032u | sparse datalow conf | Pass |
| Cam Ward QB · TEN | TEN @ NYG | Completions | 17.5 | 18.0 | +0.5 | 53% | 52% | +0.6 pp | +0.012u | complete datalow conf | Pass |