Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants
Week 3 · Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM · Scheduled · MetLife Stadium
Market summary
The number you have to beat. Nothing here is a model output.
Expected game script
Read this before any prop. Script decides who gets the volume.
NYG favoured by 3.0. Trailing teams throw more; leading teams run more.
Market total 44.5 points.
Pace needs graded team games; none are stored yet for this matchup.
Script is inferred from the captured market number and season averages in the demo dataset — it is a framing device, not a forecast.
Team profile comparison
Season averages from graded games. Efficiency before narrative.
Injuries & role impact
Who is out, and whose volume that frees up.
TE · NYG · Hamstring — Demo injury record for UI development
Tight end targets and red-zone looks move to the second TE and the slot receiver.
Reported 46d ago
Weather
Open-Meteo forecast for the kickoff hour. Wind hurts passing volume before it hurts efficiency.
Expected player volume
Opportunity drives props. Volume markets first, efficiency second.
| Player | Pos | Projected volume | Snap % | Route % | Target share | Carry share | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Ward | QB | 18.0 | — | — | — | — | Completions |
| Cam Skattebo | RB | 17.3 | — | — | — | — | Rush Attempts, Receptions |
| Carnell Tate | WR | 3.6 | — | — | — | — | Receptions |
Projected volume is the model number for each volume market. Shares are season averages from stored usage rows, not a forecast for this game.
Relevant trends
Sample size is shown because it decides how much this is worth.
Prop opportunities
Projection vs market with the reasons behind the call.
| Player | Market | Line | Proj | Diff | Range (80%) | Model % | Implied % | Edge | EV / 1u | Quality | Decision |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah LikelyTE | Receiving Yards | 39.5 | 45.7 | +6.2 | 12.8 – 78.6 | 60% | 50% | +9.9 pp | +0.200u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Cam WardQB | Passing Yards | 181.5 | 167.6 | -13.9 | 80.2 – 255.1 | 58% | 50% | +8.1 pp | +0.163u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Carnell TateWR | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.6 | +0.1 | 1.4 – 5.9 | 53% | 45% | +7.3 pp | +0.162u | sparse datalow conf | Pass |
| Cam SkatteboRB | Rushing Yards | 56.5 | 61.7 | +5.2 | 22.0 – 101.4 | 57% | 50% | +6.3 pp | +0.124u | partial datamedium conf | Pass |
| Cam SkatteboRB | Receptions | 2.5 | 2.1 | -0.4 | 0.8 – 3.3 | 67% | 61% | +6.1 pp | +0.100u | partial datamedium conf | Pass |
| Jameis WinstonQB | Passing Yards | 196.5 | 194.8 | -1.7 | 93.2 – 296.4 | 49% | 47% | +2.4 pp | +0.052u | sparse datalow conf | Pass |
| Gunnar HelmTE | Receiving Yards | 22.5 | 23.2 | +0.7 | 6.5 – 40.0 | 52% | 50% | +2.2 pp | +0.045u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Cam SkatteboRB | Rush Attempts | 15.5 | 15.2 | -0.3 | 6.9 – 23.5 | 48% | 47% | +1.6 pp | +0.035u | partial datalow conf | Pass |
| Carnell TateWR | Receiving Yards | 37.5 | 36.7 | -0.8 | 10.3 – 63.1 | 52% | 50% | +1.6 pp | +0.032u | sparse datalow conf | Pass |
| Cam WardQB | Completions | 17.5 | 18.0 | +0.5 | 9.0 – 27.0 | 53% | 52% | +0.6 pp | +0.012u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
Projections are pregame snapshots stored with their own timestamps. Results are graded separately so the record never benefits from hindsight.
Line movement
Every snapshot is preserved, so opening numbers stay honest.