Props board

Projection vs line, probability vs price. Pass is a legitimate answer.

Model
6 props · 3 actionable · edge is model probability minus implied probability

Week 1 props

Projection, distribution and market comparison. Click a player for their profile.

GameDiffImplied %EV / 1uQualityDecision
Mason Taylor
TE · NYJ
NYJ @ TENReceptions2.52.8+0.359%48%+10.6 pp+0.219u
complete datahigh conf
Bet Over
Mason Taylor
TE · NYJ
NYJ @ TENReceiving Yards21.523.8+2.357%49%+7.7 pp+0.156u
complete datahigh conf
Bet Over
Gunnar Helm
TE · TEN
NYJ @ TENReceptions2.52.6+0.153%45%+7.6 pp+0.167u
complete datahigh conf
Bet Over
Gunnar Helm
TE · TEN
NYJ @ TENReceiving Yards21.521.6+0.150%48%+1.8 pp+0.036u
complete datalow conf
Pass
Breece Hall
RB · NYJ
NYJ @ TENRush Attempts13.513.6+0.151%50%+0.6 pp+0.013u
complete datalow conf
Pass
Garrett Wilson
WR · NYJ
NYJ @ TENReceiving Yards109.575.9-33.622%
partial datalow conf
Pass