Props board
Projection vs line, probability vs price. Pass is a legitimate answer.
10 props · 6 actionable · edge is model probability minus implied probability
Week 1 props
Projection, distribution and market comparison. Click a player for their profile.
| Game | Diff | Implied % | EV / 1u | Quality | Decision | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Rush QB · ATL | ATL @ PIT | Passing Yards | 182.5 | 134.3 | -48.2 | 84% | 50% | +34.1 pp | +0.683u | sparse datalow conf | Pass |
| Aaron Rodgers QB · PIT | ATL @ PIT | Passing Yards | 112.5 | 163.3 | +50.8 | 78% | 50% | +27.8 pp | +0.555u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Bijan Robinson RB · ATL | ATL @ PIT | Receptions | 2.5 | 3.5 | +1.0 | 72% | 50% | +22.2 pp | +0.444u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Aaron Rodgers QB · PIT | ATL @ PIT | Pass Attempts | 43.5 | 36.5 | -7.0 | 69% | 50% | +19.1 pp | +0.381u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Bijan Robinson RB · ATL | ATL @ PIT | Rush Attempts | 13.5 | 14.6 | +1.1 | 57% | 50% | +7.2 pp | +0.144u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Brian Robinson Jr. RB · ATL | ATL @ PIT | Rush Attempts | 5.5 | 5.2 | -0.3 | 55% | 50% | +5.4 pp | +0.109u | complete datamedium conf | Lean Under |
| DK Metcalf WR · PIT | ATL @ PIT | Receiving Yards | 48.5 | 54.1 | +5.6 | 57% | 53% | +4.8 pp | +0.092u | complete datamedium conf | Lean Over |
| Aaron Rodgers QB · PIT | ATL @ PIT | Completions | 21.0 | 20.6 | -0.4 | 52% | 50% | +2.2 pp | +0.044u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Pat Freiermuth TE · PIT | ATL @ PIT | Receptions | 2.5 | 2.6 | +0.1 | 47% | 46% | +0.9 pp | +0.019u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Bijan Robinson RB · ATL | ATL @ PIT | Rushing Yards | 77.5 | 78.8 | +1.3 | 51% | — | — | — | complete datalow conf | Pass |