Props board
Projection vs line, probability vs price. Pass is a legitimate answer.
18 props · 10 actionable · edge is model probability minus implied probability
Week 1 props
Projection, distribution and market comparison. Click a player for their profile.
| Game | Diff | Implied % | EV / 1u | Quality | Decision | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET | NO @ DET | Receptions | 4.5 | 4.7 | +0.2 | 54% | 43% | +10.7 pp | +0.248u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET | NO @ DET | Rush Attempts | 18.5 | 16.9 | -1.6 | 59% | 49% | +10.3 pp | +0.213u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET | NO @ DET | Receiving Yards | 30.5 | 35.0 | +4.5 | 59% | 50% | +9.1 pp | +0.183u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Juwan Johnson TE · NO | NO @ DET | Receiving Yards | 41.5 | 47.5 | +6.0 | 59% | 50% | +9.0 pp | +0.180u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Devaughn Vele WR · NO | NO @ DET | Receiving Yards | 40.5 | 36.3 | -4.3 | 58% | 50% | +8.3 pp | +0.165u | partial datamedium conf | Pass |
| Jameson Williams WR · DET | NO @ DET | Receiving Yards | 57.5 | 64.6 | +7.1 | 58% | 50% | +8.0 pp | +0.161u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Devaughn Vele WR · NO | NO @ DET | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.1 | -0.4 | 60% | 52% | +7.7 pp | +0.147u | partial datamedium conf | Pass |
| Tyler Shough QB · NO | NO @ DET | Pass Attempts | 33.5 | 31.5 | -2.0 | 56% | 50% | +6.5 pp | +0.130u | partial datamedium conf | Pass |
| Jared Goff QB · DET | NO @ DET | Passing Yards | 260.5 | 276.1 | +15.6 | 56% | 50% | +5.5 pp | +0.110u | complete datamedium conf | Lean Over |
| Jared Goff QB · DET | NO @ DET | Pass Attempts | 33.5 | 35.2 | +1.7 | 55% | 50% | +5.3 pp | +0.106u | complete datamedium conf | Lean Over |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown WR · DET | NO @ DET | Receptions | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.5 | 56% | 51% | +4.9 pp | +0.097u | complete datamedium conf | Lean Over |
| Travis Etienne Jr. RB · NO | NO @ DET | Receptions | 2.5 | 2.5 | -0.0 | 51% | 47% | +4.1 pp | +0.086u | complete datamedium conf | Lean Under |
| Jared Goff QB · DET | NO @ DET | Completions | 22.5 | 23.8 | +1.3 | 56% | 52% | +3.2 pp | +0.061u | complete datamedium conf | Lean Over |
| Chris Olave WR · NO | NO @ DET | Receptions | 6.5 | 6.4 | -0.1 | 48% | 46% | +2.8 pp | +0.061u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Jameson Williams WR · DET | NO @ DET | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.8 | +0.3 | 57% | 56% | +1.5 pp | +0.027u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown WR · DET | NO @ DET | Receiving Yards | 77.5 | 83.6 | +6.1 | 55% | — | — | — | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Chris Olave WR · NO | NO @ DET | Receiving Yards | 77.5 | 75.0 | -2.5 | 48% | — | — | — | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET | NO @ DET | Rushing Yards | 119.5 | 97.5 | -22.0 | 33% | — | — | — | complete datalow conf | Pass |