Props board
Projection vs line, probability vs price. Pass is a legitimate answer.
22 props · 14 actionable · edge is model probability minus implied probability
Week 1 props
Projection, distribution and market comparison. Click a player for their profile.
| Game | Diff | Implied % | EV / 1u | Quality | Decision | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuba Hubbard RB · CAR | CHI @ CAR | Rush Attempts | 12.5 | 10.8 | -1.7 | 64% | 47% | +17.3 pp | +0.368u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Luther Burden III WR · CHI | CHI @ CAR | Receptions | 4.5 | 3.9 | -0.6 | 62% | 47% | +15.3 pp | +0.327u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Kyle Monangai RB · CHI | CHI @ CAR | Rushing Yards | 31.5 | 38.9 | +7.4 | 65% | 50% | +14.7 pp | +0.295u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Kyle Monangai RB · CHI | CHI @ CAR | Rush Attempts | 8.5 | 9.2 | +0.7 | 57% | 42% | +14.6 pp | +0.347u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Colston Loveland TE · CHI | CHI @ CAR | Receptions | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | 61% | 47% | +14.2 pp | +0.305u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Chuba Hubbard RB · CAR | CHI @ CAR | Rushing Yards | 50.5 | 42.6 | -7.9 | 64% | 50% | +14.1 pp | +0.281u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Rome Odunze WR · CHI | CHI @ CAR | Receiving Yards | 39.5 | 47.3 | +7.8 | 62% | 50% | +11.6 pp | +0.231u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Colston Loveland TE · CHI | CHI @ CAR | Receiving Yards | 54.5 | 48.4 | -6.1 | 59% | 49% | +9.5 pp | +0.192u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Rome Odunze WR · CHI | CHI @ CAR | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.5 | +0.0 | 51% | 42% | +9.3 pp | +0.223u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Luther Burden III WR · CHI | CHI @ CAR | Receiving Yards | 57.5 | 51.5 | -6.0 | 58% | 50% | +8.2 pp | +0.164u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Jalen Coker WR · CAR | CHI @ CAR | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.3 | -0.2 | 55% | 47% | +7.3 pp | +0.154u | partial datamedium conf | Pass |
| Caleb Williams QB · CHI | CHI @ CAR | Completions | 19.5 | 19.2 | -0.3 | 52% | 47% | +4.3 pp | +0.091u | complete datamedium conf | Lean Under |
| Caleb Williams QB · CHI | CHI @ CAR | Rushing Yards | 20.5 | 21.3 | +0.8 | 53% | 49% | +4.0 pp | +0.081u | complete datamedium conf | Lean Over |
| D'Andre Swift RB · CHI | CHI @ CAR | Rushing Yards | 60.5 | 63.7 | +3.2 | 54% | 50% | +3.9 pp | +0.079u | complete datamedium conf | Lean Over |
| Bryce Young QB · CAR | CHI @ CAR | Passing Yards | 209.5 | 203.0 | -6.5 | 53% | 50% | +3.1 pp | +0.062u | complete datamedium conf | Lean Under |
| Jalen Coker WR · CAR | CHI @ CAR | Receiving Yards | 40.5 | 38.9 | -1.6 | 53% | 50% | +3.1 pp | +0.063u | partial datamedium conf | Pass |
| Caleb Williams QB · CHI | CHI @ CAR | Pass Attempts | 32.5 | 32.5 | +0.0 | 50% | 49% | +1.6 pp | +0.032u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Bryce Young QB · CAR | CHI @ CAR | Completions | 19.5 | 19.7 | +0.2 | 49% | 48% | +1.0 pp | +0.020u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Bryce Young QB · CAR | CHI @ CAR | Pass Attempts | 30.5 | 30.9 | +0.4 | 51% | 51% | +0.9 pp | +0.018u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| D'Andre Swift RB · CHI | CHI @ CAR | Rush Attempts | 13.5 | 13.6 | +0.1 | 50% | 49% | +0.8 pp | +0.016u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Caleb Williams QB · CHI | CHI @ CAR | Passing Yards | 169.5 | 200.7 | +31.2 | 65% | — | — | — | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Tetairoa McMillan WR · CAR | CHI @ CAR | Receiving Yards | 39.5 | 51.8 | +12.3 | 66% | — | — | — | complete datalow conf | Pass |