Props board
Projection vs line, probability vs price. Pass is a legitimate answer.
4 props · 3 actionable · edge is model probability minus implied probability
Week 1 props
Projection, distribution and market comparison. Click a player for their profile.
| Game | Diff | Implied % | EV / 1u | Quality | Decision | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Willis QB · MIA | MIA @ LV | Pass Attempts | 26.5 | 20.4 | -6.1 | 84% | 51% | +33.5 pp | +0.662u | sparse datalow conf | Pass |
| Michael Mayer TE · LV | MIA @ LV | Receiving Yards | 39.5 | 31.4 | -8.1 | 68% | 47% | +20.4 pp | +0.430u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Jalen Nailor WR · LV | MIA @ LV | Receiving Yards | 37.5 | 31.0 | -6.5 | 65% | 50% | +14.5 pp | +0.291u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Ashton Jeanty RB · LV | MIA @ LV | Rush Attempts | 14.5 | 15.0 | +0.5 | 53% | 48% | +4.6 pp | +0.095u | complete datamedium conf | Lean Over |