Props board
Projection vs line, probability vs price. Pass is a legitimate answer.
16 props · 10 actionable · edge is model probability minus implied probability
Week 1 props
Projection, distribution and market comparison. Click a player for their profile.
| Game | Diff | Implied % | EV / 1u | Quality | Decision | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bhayshul Tuten RB · JAX | CLE @ JAX | Rushing Yards | 44.5 | 31.0 | -13.5 | 81% | 50% | +30.7 pp | +0.614u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Bhayshul Tuten RB · JAX | CLE @ JAX | Rush Attempts | 8.5 | 6.8 | -1.7 | 72% | 50% | +22.2 pp | +0.445u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Jakobi Meyers WR · JAX | CLE @ JAX | Receiving Yards | 38.5 | 45.4 | +6.9 | 61% | 50% | +11.0 pp | +0.221u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Bhayshul Tuten RB · JAX | CLE @ JAX | Receiving Yards | 24.5 | 16.7 | -7.8 | 84% | 74% | +9.6 pp | +0.129u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Brian Thomas Jr. WR · JAX | CLE @ JAX | Receiving Yards | 38.5 | 45.3 | +6.8 | 61% | 51% | +9.1 pp | +0.177u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB · JAX | CLE @ JAX | Rushing Yards | 99.5 | 67.1 | -32.4 | 17% | 8% | +8.7 pp | +1.055u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Brenton Strange TE · JAX | CLE @ JAX | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.6 | +0.1 | 53% | 46% | +6.8 pp | +0.148u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Parker Washington WR · JAX | CLE @ JAX | Receptions | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | 61% | 54% | +6.6 pp | +0.123u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Under |
| Brenton Strange TE · JAX | CLE @ JAX | Receiving Yards | 34.5 | 39.7 | +5.2 | 59% | 53% | +6.2 pp | +0.117u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Harold Fannin Jr. TE · CLE | CLE @ JAX | Receptions | 3.5 | 3.8 | +0.3 | 43% | 39% | +4.0 pp | +0.104u | complete datamedium conf | Lean Under |
| Quinshon Judkins RB · CLE | CLE @ JAX | Rushing Yards | 56.5 | 54.9 | -1.6 | 52% | 50% | +2.3 pp | +0.047u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Trevor Lawrence QB · JAX | CLE @ JAX | Completions | 20.5 | 20.0 | -0.5 | 48% | 46% | +1.4 pp | +0.030u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Quinshon Judkins RB · CLE | CLE @ JAX | Rush Attempts | 15.5 | 15.2 | -0.3 | 52% | 51% | +0.6 pp | +0.011u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE | CLE @ JAX | Receiving Yards | 24.5 | 28.9 | +4.4 | 39% | 39% | +0.3 pp | +0.009u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Trevor Lawrence QB · JAX | CLE @ JAX | Passing Yards | 179.5 | 207.6 | +28.1 | 63% | — | — | — | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Parker Washington WR · JAX | CLE @ JAX | Receiving Yards | 24.5 | 39.5 | +15.0 | 75% | — | — | — | complete datalow conf | Pass |