New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans
Week 1 · Sun, Sep 13, 5:00 PM · Scheduled · Nissan Stadium
Market summary
The number you have to beat. Nothing here is a model output.
Expected game script
Read this before any prop. Script decides who gets the volume.
TEN favoured by 1.0. Trailing teams throw more; leading teams run more.
Market total 39.0 points.
Pace needs graded team games; none are stored yet for this matchup.
Script is inferred from the captured market number and season averages in the demo dataset — it is a framing device, not a forecast.
Team profile comparison
Season averages from graded games. Efficiency before narrative.
Injuries & role impact
Who is out, and whose volume that frees up.
- Roman Pryor NYJDoubtful
QB · NYJ · Ankle — Demo injury record for UI development
Backup under centre. Passing volume and deep attempts usually fall; rushing attempts usually rise.
Reported 6h ago
Weather
Open-Meteo forecast for the kickoff hour. Wind hurts passing volume before it hurts efficiency.
Expected player volume
Opportunity drives props. Volume markets first, efficiency second.
| Player | Pos | Projected volume | Snap % | Route % | Target share | Carry share | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breece Hall | RB | 13.6 | — | — | — | — | Rush Attempts |
| Mason Taylor | TE | 2.8 | — | — | — | — | Receptions |
| Gunnar Helm | TE | 2.6 | — | — | — | — | Receptions |
Projected volume is the model number for each volume market. Shares are season averages from stored usage rows, not a forecast for this game.
Relevant trends
Sample size is shown because it decides how much this is worth.
Prop opportunities
Projection vs market with the reasons behind the call.
| Player | Market | Line | Proj | Diff | Range (80%) | Model % | Implied % | Edge | EV / 1u | Quality | Decision |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason TaylorTE | Receptions | 2.5 | 2.8 | +0.3 | 1.1 – 4.6 | 59% | 48% | +10.6 pp | +0.219u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Mason TaylorTE | Receiving Yards | 21.5 | 23.8 | +2.3 | 6.7 – 40.9 | 57% | 49% | +7.7 pp | +0.156u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Gunnar HelmTE | Receptions | 2.5 | 2.6 | +0.1 | 1.0 – 4.2 | 53% | 45% | +7.6 pp | +0.167u | complete datahigh conf | Bet Over |
| Gunnar HelmTE | Receiving Yards | 21.5 | 21.6 | +0.1 | 6.0 – 37.1 | 50% | 48% | +1.8 pp | +0.036u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
| Breece HallRB | Rush Attempts | 13.5 | 13.6 | +0.1 | 6.2 – 21.0 | 51% | 50% | +0.6 pp | +0.013u | complete datalow conf | Pass |
Projections are pregame snapshots stored with their own timestamps. Results are graded separately so the record never benefits from hindsight.
Line movement
Every snapshot is preserved, so opening numbers stay honest.